Utilized-Outback
0x013dfc13ce1fdfac5e32568f9d03fd2a904a3e88
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-50.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1025 shares @ 16.0¢·now 33.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$343.83
$180.11
- YES
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?
951 shares @ 13.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$327.91
$200.90
- NO
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.50
$97.50
- NO
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
264 shares @ 70.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.16
$-72.71
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
59 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.52
$18.02
- YES
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
94 shares @ 15.9¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.75
$3.83
- YES
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?
89 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.54
$4.09
- YES
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
5318 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-18.61
- YES
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
78 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.03
$-13.59
- YES
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2439 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-8.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$100.00Jul 10, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$83.33Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$15.37Jul 5, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$5.0KJul 1, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?$36.30Jun 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?$8.50Jun 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?$5.20Jun 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.20T and $1.30T on June 30?$2.68Jun 22, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on June 30?$1.82Jun 22, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on October 31?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMMagnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMSBF released from custody in 2025?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 1?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$0.00Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $24.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 22:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.