Equatorial-Sledge
0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966115a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$466.1K
Realised
$510.0K
Win rate
88%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
59767 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
37506 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21?
23025 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?
12049 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 2?
11965 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 5?
9014 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-813.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
8379 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 5?
7014 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-660.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 5?
6837 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-637.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on February 5?
6797 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-633.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on February 5?$831.73Feb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 5?$1.1KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 5?$2.2KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 5?$3.1KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?$3.8KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?$4.2KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 5?$5.5KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 5?$7.2KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 5?$12.4KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5?$13.0KFeb 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 5?$97.00Feb 5, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 4?$85.33Feb 4, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 4?$302.24Feb 4, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 4?$6.4KFeb 4, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on February 4?$1.6KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 4?$3.1KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on February 4?$4.9KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 4?$5.2KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 4?$6.1KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 4?$6.3KFeb 4, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
69/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
51 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.