0x0157a249f411b7f7348265b7eaa57c36fa1c5d89
0x0157a249f411b7f7348265b7eaa57c36fa1c5d89
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$95.42
Total PnL
$8.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?
10 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$10.00
$0.39
- NO
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$7.41
$3.93
- NO
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$5.00
$2.75
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$5.00
$0.50
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$5.00
$2.05
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.00
$0.85
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$5.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.60
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
5 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$5.00
$1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?$3.48May 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?$1.20May 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?$1.19May 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?$1.45May 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 9–16?$9.61May 13, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$4.15May 13, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.00May 12, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$0.00May 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on May 31?$4.60May 7, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$4.25May 6, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Cavaliers$3.60May 6, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.40May 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$4.99May 6, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?$4.20May 5, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$4.97Feb 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Bulls record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?$4.98Feb 10, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? $3.85Feb 10, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$3.85Jan 19, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?$2.25Jan 19, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring?$4.99Jan 19, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".