Comfortable-Newspaper-Clearing
0x015ac9b4b51d2fa14aed95588098847cbeb900f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$8.55
Total PnL
$-854.43
Realised
$-173.15
Win rate
25%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
17 shares @ 78.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$8.55
$-4.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
56 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
37 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
34 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
32 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
28 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
21 shares @ 76.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
20 shares @ 82.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
20 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.30
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
20 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.94Aug 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.15Aug 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.45Aug 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$6.18Aug 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.04Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.08Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$17.09Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.36Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.16Aug 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$7.90Aug 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.01Aug 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.12Aug 13, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$11.67Aug 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.97Aug 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.93Aug 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.23Aug 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.17Aug 13, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$7.13Aug 13, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.35Aug 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.49Aug 13, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 123 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
123 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.