Scarce-Goal
0x015bbfe97a2437236f89248a5862465e048c5bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$271.25
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-14.75
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?
107 shares @ 93.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$102.67
$2.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14?
58 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$52.87
$2.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.73
$-0.27
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.01
$4.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 15?
53 shares @ 18.8¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.42
$1.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$8.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 15?
34 shares @ 29.4¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.15
$-2.85
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-2.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?
165 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?
115 shares @ 86.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?$53.19Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?$50.20Jun 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14?$10.36Jun 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 15?$10.41Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$54.17Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?$55.49Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13?$56.11Jun 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 15?$10.35Jun 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?$100.31Jun 13, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14?$50.33Jun 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$50.20Jun 13, 01:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?$53.96Jun 12, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12?$57.94Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 12?$54.35Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$19.23Jun 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.34Jun 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$8.27Jun 11, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $27.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.