Ill-Informed-Sage
0x0163efcd6c88917eb1d598a857e838facec4ea1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$232.56
Total PnL
$-462.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Canada recession before 2027?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$232.56
$132.56
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
10137 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-439.98
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
1026 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-54.95
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
595 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$54.95Mar 7, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada recession before 2027?$100.00Feb 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Feb 8, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$180.00Jan 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$260.00Jan 11, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $138.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.