Proper-Tectonics
0x0164c35d78f87db2658044c2c64d92254c309ed6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$52.1K
Total PnL
$7.2K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
81%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 87.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.2K
$420.05
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
8500 shares @ 65.5¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$1.1K
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
7000 shares @ 79.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.5K
$894.49
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
5500 shares @ 87.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$232.99
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 65.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$635.59
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
3000 shares @ 77.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$334.13
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3500 shares @ 65.8¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.6K
$341.11
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 89.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$133.14
- NO
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
1985 shares @ 82.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$222.75
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
2000 shares @ 39.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.40Jul 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.75Jul 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.75Jul 29, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.75Jul 29, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.75Jul 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$2.12Jul 29, 08:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$23.50Jul 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$14.57Jul 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$6.21Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$172.00Jul 28, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$13.30Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$3.51Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Make Blast Bounty Grand Finals$16.87Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$47.44Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$35.86Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$18.00Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3DMAX Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$1.46Jul 28, 13:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.56Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
31 closed markets, 81% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 05:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.