Flickering-Hive
0x0168e2ed5267087a0ae7e8801476f9fc230af48f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$54.04
Total PnL
$-29.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
14 shares @ 70.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.25
$4.25
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.38
$0.38
- NO
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.26
$4.26
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.26
$2.26
- NO
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
70 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$0.00Dec 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2.60Dec 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$2.04Oct 21, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.70Oct 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$0.75Oct 16, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 27-30?$1.00Oct 16, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?$3.18Oct 16, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$7.46Oct 16, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$1.41Oct 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in October?$1.00Oct 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 19-22?$1.00Oct 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$1.00Oct 11, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$2.38Oct 11, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$5.43Oct 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$1.00Oct 9, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 9, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 17:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.