Acclaimed-Downturn
0x0169b9e48a601480ab0dcc4a2d09e375315af6e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.30
Total PnL
$-6.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.00Feb 19, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.67Feb 19, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$1.00Jan 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$1.01Jan 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 3, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $8 before 2027?$1.00Jan 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,700 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 3, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 3, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.08Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.10Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$15.71Jan 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?$1.00Dec 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 27, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?$1.00Dec 27, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".