Determined-Monopoly
0x017b19a23d09328350c4a624ff736033767b4e46
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$105.35
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-42.34
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$78.82
$2.72
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.18
$-2.72
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
17 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.80
$0.43
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.79
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
51 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.03
$-6.56
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
23428 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.57
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8619 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-222.48
- YES
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
7738 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-146.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$121.15Apr 22, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?$2.25Apr 21, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$70.00Apr 17, 17:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 31, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 30, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 29, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.08Mar 25, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.87Mar 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.28Mar 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Mar 25, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.60Mar 25, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.58Mar 25, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.18Mar 25, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.82Mar 25, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?$37.50Mar 25, 11:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $46.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.