Smooth-Hash
0x01859d1739cae1a231236d3068685e6ba7b6f1ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$1.38
Total PnL
$-76.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$1.38
$0.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 10?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 12, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-03-30?$1.18Apr 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia win on 2026-03-30?$1.64Apr 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?$2.44Apr 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$1.00Apr 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?$1.00Apr 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?$1.00Apr 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$1.00Apr 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$1.00Apr 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-03-30?$1.00Mar 30, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?$1.00Mar 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-30?$1.00Mar 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$1.00Feb 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 27?$2.22Feb 23, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-21?$2.38Feb 23, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$3.03Feb 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".