Wobbly-Spiderling
0x01963ac8794232aa36db377e247b832061ef3bfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
125
Open notional
$8.25
Total PnL
$-431.78
Realised
$-2.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$8.25
$-6.25
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,600 on June 29?
5040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 30?
4970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 30?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 23?
504 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 23?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.99Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$27.00Jul 31, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee?$1.84Jul 24, 17:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$31.50Jul 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$6.37Jul 23, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?$13.34Jul 23, 00:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.86Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?$1.16Jul 22, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$6.23Jul 21, 22:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Burks be the MO-05 Republican nominee?$1.70Jul 15, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?$7.22Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?$33.06Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?$45.38Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$48.75Jul 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$23.50Jul 13, 06:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.20Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?$39.00Jul 12, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $24.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.