Reflecting-Festival
0x019a30d444fe3400b654973c480457ba351d2616
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Meta (META) Up or Down on November 10?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- UP
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 6?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 27?$1.7KJan 29, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYA (NYA) Up or Down on January 27?$838.88Jan 27, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 16?$1.1KDec 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 16?$558.45Dec 16, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 21?$1.7KNov 22, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 21?$850.00Nov 21, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$865.23Nov 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$866.12Nov 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$866.11Nov 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$866.99Nov 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$866.99Nov 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$867.87Nov 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$867.87Nov 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$868.74Nov 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$868.74Nov 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$869.61Nov 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?$4.00Nov 11, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on November 10?$42.00Nov 10, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMDAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 7?$58.00Nov 8, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 7?$55.10Nov 7, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $294.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".