Messy-Centurion
0x019f531523efa9430c0084997d3780ec3f43ca69
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?$189.74Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?$17.41Feb 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$17.41Feb 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$209.57Feb 15, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?$209.57Feb 15, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?$457.71Feb 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 13?$457.71Feb 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 13?$430.68Feb 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$430.68Feb 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$400.79Feb 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on February 11?$400.79Feb 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 11?$381.11Feb 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$381.11Feb 11, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$362.80Feb 9, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 9?$362.80Feb 9, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 9?$340.80Feb 9, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ET$340.80Feb 9, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ET$328.80Feb 9, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$328.80Feb 9, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$293.37Feb 8, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $292.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.