Elaborate-Slang
0x01a9160c6a2aa8591a11a88badbc505e824575dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$100.78
Total PnL
$-105.65
Realised
$3.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$65.07
$-8.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 21?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$35.02
$5.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 21?
420 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.21
$-15.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 21?
199 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.10
$-4.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 21?
145 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 21?
135 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.07
$-10.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 21?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.05
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 21?
82 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.04
$-3.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 21?
74 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.04
$-9.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 21?
63 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.03
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?$2.07Jul 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?$2.07Jul 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 21?$14.30Jul 21, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on July 21?$30.51Jul 21, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?$72.19Jul 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 21?$33.90Jul 21, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?$2.14Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 21?$49.62Jul 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 21?$47.04Jul 21, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?$10.98Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 21?$2.82Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?$3.59Jul 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 21?$19.07Jul 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?$103.45Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?$9.04Jul 21, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?$8.05Jul 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?$6.27Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?$1.70Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 21?$2.04Jul 21, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?$1.55Jul 21, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $17.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.