Constant-Relation
0x01b739b360d3c2f6cc8ec84cda900d48650e2eca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
240 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-69.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
240 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-64.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
240 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-143.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
200 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-77.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
200 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-54.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
160 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
160 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-54.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
160 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-42.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
160 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-60.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
160 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-46.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$50.00Jul 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.25Jul 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.10Jul 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.08Jul 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.78Jul 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.06Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.96Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.91Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.77Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.38Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.28Jul 15, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$30.00Jul 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.23Jul 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.69Jul 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.08Jul 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.08Jul 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.15Jul 15, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.58Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.60Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$3.43Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.