Foolhardy-Analysis
0x01bfd852ec37ee70541f1f61e54e1780bfeec518
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.06
Total PnL
$-11.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Rockets
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$5.45
$2.45
- YES
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$1.00Oct 15, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Oct 15, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?$1.00Oct 15, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?$1.00Oct 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?$1.00Oct 4, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYYieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.00Oct 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?$1.00Oct 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?$1.00Oct 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?$1.00Oct 4, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on October 31?$5.00Oct 4, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAster all time high by December 31?$5.00Oct 4, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by October 15?$1.00Oct 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?$5.00Oct 4, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Oct 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00Jul 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Orioles$2.00Jul 12, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joel Embiid win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$0.00Jul 11, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,700 on February 14?$0.00Jul 11, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Rockets$3.00Jul 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,700 on February 14?$525.00Feb 14, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $53.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".