Glorious-Cut
0x01ca01094454417079804eff50f98314b99c6678
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.44
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$3.44
$2.48
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.64Apr 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 13?$3.84Apr 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.68Apr 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.36Apr 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$6.60Apr 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$4.95Apr 10, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$1.00Apr 9, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$1.00Apr 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$49.82Apr 9, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.