Wild-Ease
0x01cc5a4e894c7f43db9ac6e32d563cb33cd9ac1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.53
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.12
$0.01
- NO
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.13
$0.02
- NO
Will Neymar win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Jun 19, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 19, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.21Jun 19, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$1.08May 29, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 29, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.11May 29, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 1?$1.14May 29, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.30May 29, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 1?$1.14Apr 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.11Apr 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.25Apr 30, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.35Apr 30, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.89Apr 30, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$3.92Apr 30, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.30Mar 8, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.80Mar 8, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$3.90Mar 8, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$1.47Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.55Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$10.21Mar 8, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $514.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.