Stimulating-Fig
0x01cedeca7d341ad169a71debb45e1b307c798958
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-934.40
Realised
$20.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
1400 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$1.4K
$252.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 12?
87900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-87.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on December 11?
10314 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 25?
9996 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on December 10?
7348 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $102,000 on December 11?
6143 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.14
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.37Mar 1, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$2.89Mar 1, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$606.31Feb 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$541.68Feb 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$1.1KFeb 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$20.00Feb 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$1.0KFeb 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$991.11Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$115.89Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$2.0KFeb 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16?$58.10Feb 16, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$53.00Feb 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$17.00Feb 14, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$9.00Feb 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$2.21Feb 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$9.00Feb 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14?$10.48Feb 14, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$50.00Feb 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$46.92Feb 12, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.08Feb 12, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $233.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".