Basic-Help
0x01ec294b68f2dd56e279102a4703247d6953585a
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$45.34
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- BLUE
Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?
1314 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-191.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?
1308 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- YES
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?
1275 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-458.86
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
957 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?
948 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-578.00
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?
919 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-610.00
- YES
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17?
763 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-320.00
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
733 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?
732 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?
611 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$108.46Jan 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$545.95Jan 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$50.00Jan 18, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$80.00Jan 18, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$200.00Jan 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?$293.52Jan 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$300.00Jan 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?$50.00Jan 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?$100.00Jan 18, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?$105.00Jan 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$50.00Jan 18, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?$284.15Jan 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?$200.00Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$120.00Jan 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$200.00Jan 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?$458.86Jan 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?$257.14Jan 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?$150.00Jan 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$349.63Jan 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$195.00Jan 17, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $179.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.