Sociable-Difficulty
0x01edc8caa4b26299f818f03d1a5c6b7d89b06210
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$32.35
Total PnL
$-14.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
32 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$32.35
$21.35
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?
1537 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
54 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 22, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$1.00Jun 22, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 22, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?$26.00Jun 22, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran before August?$7.00Jun 22, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$11.00Jun 22, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $7.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".