Quizzical-Praise
0x01fb55a6c2d2a8226dc837d139061fdcae28ad54
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$20.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.00
$0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 5?
15724 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-109.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 5?
13284 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on April 7?
9666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 5?
5714 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-22.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on April 5?
4000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on April 7?
3191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 6?
2352 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 6?
1600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 5?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 8?$1.73Apr 7, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 8?$2.27Apr 7, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 8?$2.98Apr 7, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?$2.82Apr 7, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 7?$7.38Apr 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 7?$8.00Apr 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$12.64Apr 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 7?$8.71Apr 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?$18.93Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 7?$2.97Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 8?$3.23Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on April 8?$4.09Apr 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 8?$2.82Apr 7, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?$3.95Apr 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 8?$4.57Apr 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 8?$6.12Apr 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?$5.86Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 7?$7.38Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 7?$14.02Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 6?$47.94Apr 7, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.