Fearless-Possible
0x01fd8e7867747efeb4aa471ad40ba33bac63e674
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$198.65
Total PnL
$-104.89
Realised
$-43.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
222 shares @ 85.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$187.94
$-1.57
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$5.29
$0.12
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
80 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-58.53
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$1.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants$1.011h ago
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$4.531h ago
- TRADESELLLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$5.192h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$1.017h ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$15.167h ago
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$22.738h ago
- YIELD$0.0211h ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$10.101d ago
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros$5.051d ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.024d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$55.857d ago
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$59.017d ago
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.007d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".