Tasty-Notation
0x020c3de89d302eff0b67ff2c5ad3b6d65332f6c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-197.74
Realised
$0.45
Win rate
100%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on June 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 24?
375 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 24?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 26?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 24?
201 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 25?
192 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 26?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 25?
174 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?
174 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?
150 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 6?$0.06Jul 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 6?$0.09Jul 5, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 6?$0.06Jul 5, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 6?$0.06Jul 5, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 6?$0.09Jul 5, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 6?$0.05Jul 5, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 6?$0.06Jul 5, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 6?$0.09Jul 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 5?$0.09Jul 5, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 6?$0.04Jul 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 5?$0.26Jul 5, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 5?$0.06Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 5?$0.11Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?$0.35Jul 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$0.09Jul 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$0.06Jul 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 6?$0.15Jul 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 6?$0.00Jul 5, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?$0.41Jul 5, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 5?$0.28Jul 5, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.