Tasty-Notation
0x020c3de89d302eff0b67ff2c5ad3b6d65332f6c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$56.96
Total PnL
$-279.73
Realised
$44.02
Win rate
33%
72 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?
51 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.57
$-2.81
- NO
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
34 shares @ 57.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$15.98
$-3.40
- YES
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
40 shares @ 31.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 5, 2026$12.20
$-0.40
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
70 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.90
$-5.60
- YES
Will Sentinels Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 6 hours?
94 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.05
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on June 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 24?
375 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 24?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 26?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?$12.20Aug 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?$10.40Aug 21, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?$8.00Aug 21, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NE-03 House seat?$2.85Aug 21, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?$12.20Aug 21, 00:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.59Aug 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?$8.00Aug 21, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?$9.60Aug 21, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$15.41Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?$22.50Aug 20, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?$2.00Aug 20, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?$2.00Aug 20, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?$3.72Aug 20, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?$9.00Aug 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?$6.82Aug 20, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?$3.79Aug 20, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 18 hours?$9.00Aug 20, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?$6.00Aug 20, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?$9.60Aug 20, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?$9.40Aug 20, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 72 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
72 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 72 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.