Spirited-Pressroom
0x020c962012b89d4a9ad1341a7cffb56524270c98
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-445.66
Realised
$-12.75
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 19?
3459 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?
2983 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 22?
2496 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 18?
1520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?
1230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 3?
1104 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?
405 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 16?
377 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on March 2?
260 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 4?$5.49Jun 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?$11.74Jun 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 4?$16.54Jun 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 4?$2.00Jun 4, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$29.18Jun 4, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?$9.76Jun 4, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?$10.00Jun 4, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 4?$4.76Jun 4, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 4?$7.49Jun 4, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 4?$1.79Jun 4, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?$6.26Jun 4, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?$2.75Jun 4, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$91.92Jun 3, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 1?$0.00Jun 3, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 1?$4.66Jun 3, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?$8.18Jun 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?$6.75Jun 3, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$58.80Jun 1, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 1?$1.02Jun 1, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 1?$2.67Jun 1, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.