Admired-Revenue
0x020ca9aa08c62468c62443e43e8ab2f310fd180a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.09
Total PnL
$-25.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$14.10Jul 12, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$69.07Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$69.00Jun 8, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$69.07Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$69.00May 30, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$68.97May 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$68.90May 26, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$68.87May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$68.80May 21, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$68.87May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$68.80May 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$68.77May 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$68.70May 12, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$68.57May 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$68.50May 9, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?$68.67May 2, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?$68.60May 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$68.63May 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?$68.57Apr 26, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 22?$68.56Apr 26, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $54.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.