Knowing-Glass
0x020d49579beb4827adcce87a7f00d474fb201a87
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-96.16
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
48581 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-101.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
400 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-188.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$7.58Jun 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.12Jun 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.10Jun 15, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$7.58Jun 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.12Jun 15, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$7.07Jun 15, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.10Jun 15, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.01Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.06Jun 15, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.83Jun 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$6.33Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.07Jun 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.03Jun 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$6.02Jun 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.06Jun 15, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.76Jun 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.09Jun 14, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.10Jun 14, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.01Jun 14, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 12:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.