Musty-Cast
0x021a11bee590bc025255595255d5802546a2cd7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$40.15
Total PnL
$-68.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.00
$0.60
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$10.00
$1.90
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.00
$0.20
- YES
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$5.00
$0.04
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
5 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-7.25
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
130 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$60.00May 24, 02:34 UTC
- REWARD$86.07Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$43.31Apr 7, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.36Apr 7, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Apr 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$9.40Mar 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$4.68Mar 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$4.90Mar 9, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$4.90Mar 9, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 9, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.00Mar 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.60Mar 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$4.96Mar 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.59Mar 6, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.10Mar 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.40Mar 3, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $10.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.