Rectangular-Trapezium
0x022334434051e74c0fabeef82b2524d9a158a05b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.52
Total PnL
$-1.07
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.36
$0.30
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.16
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on March 29?
7 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$1.07Jun 27, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.13Jun 27, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.13May 29, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?$1.22May 29, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Apr 28, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Apr 27, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Apr 27, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$14.17Apr 27, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Apr 27, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.06Apr 23, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on March 29?$0.00Apr 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on March 29?$0.10Mar 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$30.84Feb 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$31.00Feb 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$131.47Feb 5, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$131.61Feb 5, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $37.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.