Confused-Subtitle
0x023b0d4990f67dada26313ecc9cd4e637760f8a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.30
Total PnL
$-972.43
Realised
$-3.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
173 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.30
$-0.43
- YES
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
1000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.55
- YES
Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
669 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-34.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 15?
487 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 86°F or higher on July 17?
455 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 84-85°F on July 17?
401 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 15?
351 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-72.68
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
211 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $121K and $122K on July 15 at 5PM ET?
205 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Sep 22, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$5.00Sep 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$34.28Sep 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$34.28Sep 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$33.20Aug 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?$5.00Aug 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Aug 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$60.00Aug 18, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEM Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$101.58Aug 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$100.00Aug 15, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 25?$29.02Aug 7, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 26?$87.60Aug 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 26?$37.17Jul 26, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 26?$49.47Jul 26, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 97-98°F on July 25?$86.63Jul 26, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 97-98°F on July 25?$86.28Jul 25, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?$60.31Jul 25, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 25?$20.00Jul 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 75°F or below on July 25?$60.00Jul 25, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 66°F or below on July 24?$105.98Jul 25, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".