Ringed-Poncho
0x023dc46a5c66e09af548fa376a15f534c8e83431
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$274.33
Total PnL
$-31.48
Realised
$3.40
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
40 shares @ 49.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$18.00
$0.40
- YES
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 78.9¢·now 81.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.32
$0.54
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
46 shares @ 34.7¢·now 32.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.80
$-1.25
- NO
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.10
$0.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
29 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.90
$-1.32
- YES
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
29 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.40
$0.28
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.18
$0.07
- YES
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.10
$1.70
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.90
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6.09Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1.05Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1.10Jun 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6.60Jun 14, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$26.50Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.00Jun 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$28.50Jun 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$20.80Jun 14, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?$6.40Jun 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$9.80Jun 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$19.00Jun 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$16.03Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.00Jun 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$2.23Jun 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$18.00Jun 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$4.20Jun 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$17.00Jun 14, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$15.50Jun 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?$11.19Jun 14, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.56Jun 14, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.