Normal-Curler
0x02456998ce83c4458feed8125043a0326bb0f35a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$271.19
Win rate
65%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- A ONE MAN ARMY ESPORTS PRIME
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs A One Man Army Esports Prime (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group B
500 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-128.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 20?
389 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-97.61
- EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group B
300 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 1?
288 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?
251 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.98
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 20?
250 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 20?
248 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18?
223 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 20?
222 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?$50.00Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$54.80Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?$61.29Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 1?$199.99Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?$200.00Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?$200.00Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?$299.99Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?$150.00Mar 1, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 28?$29.19Feb 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 28?$198.00Feb 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$14.00Feb 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1?$48.80Feb 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?$27.30Feb 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$2.30Feb 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$2.45Feb 28, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$47.30Feb 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$47.20Feb 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?$0.50Feb 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?$0.50Feb 28, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?$0.49Feb 28, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.