Respectful-Pancreas
0x025b0ad28f4b2d8b1158bc6f42f935dcb1d101b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
29913 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-199.97
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
12270 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
12165 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
10000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?
6229 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
4168 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
3333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
AP doesn't call the election by November 20?
2857 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
2250 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-294.00
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
848 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$840.25May 19, 20:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $840.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.