Flustered-Probe
0x025cca8eabb70054df71a7e01f713be4da645b44
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$29.57
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?
54 shares @ 27.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$15.64
$0.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 11?
44 shares @ 33.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$13.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 2?
790 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-73.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 3?
422 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?
360 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-56.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 3?
355 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-57.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 4?
350 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-47.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 64°F or higher on April 1?
340 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on April 2?
332 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-58.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 9?
322 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-47.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 11?$15.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?$15.548h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 9?$15.472d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 7?$15.514d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 13?$30.0028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 13?$20.0028d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 13?$10.0028d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 9?$96.0928d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 9?$97.9128d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 13?$20.0030d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 12?$8.2130d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 8?$170.0731d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 12?$25.0032d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 7?$134.5032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 9?$30.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 9?$30.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 9?$50.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 9?$50.0032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 9?$30.0033d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 9?$40.0033d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $38.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 37d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
