Scared-Draw
0x026811adbccf7fe1670d460f958f860dbfbaaf28
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.04
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.04
$-0.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3950 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3949 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
3948 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1982 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-991.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1982 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-991.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1981 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-990.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-990.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-990.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1977 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-988.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.43Mar 28, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$2.20Mar 28, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.28Feb 4, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$2.00Jan 8, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWealthfront IPO in 2025?$1.02Jan 8, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.0KDec 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$22.79Dec 9, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.0KDec 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$990.00Dec 9, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$988.50Dec 9, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.00Dec 9, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.45Dec 9, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.50Dec 9, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.0KDec 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4.82Dec 8, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$986.18Dec 8, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$13.50Dec 8, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$977.50Dec 8, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.0KDec 8, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$991.00Dec 8, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $625.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".