Far-Off-Progenitor-Significance
0x02707b2ab5e16a2338215f31c0aad7a9b31f5a30
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$24.75
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$-64.89
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$24.75
$21.25
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
5356 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- CD ELDENSE
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)
4050 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
3500 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UNDER
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
3381 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
3156 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UNDER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
3000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?
3000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UNDER
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
3000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
2000 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-383.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.73Aug 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$79.92Aug 18, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$57.00Aug 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: UD Almería (-1.5)$29.61Aug 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: UD Almería (-1.5)$2.4KAug 17, 19:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.67Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?$1.4KAug 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City end in a draw?$10.00Aug 16, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Aug 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$4.32Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.90Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.90Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.45Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.45Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.10Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.45Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.99Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.10Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.24Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.10Aug 13, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
29/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $139.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.