Confused-Surprise
0x02751a4d123aa5f49da995f11b4c1573b9091fd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.49
Total PnL
$-4.21
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.49
$0.01
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?$279.72Nov 25, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Nov 19, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?$1.20Nov 19, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?$16.79Nov 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?$307.00Nov 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$302.18Nov 19, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?$1.03Nov 19, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.03Nov 19, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Groff win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?$1.11Nov 19, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$302.68Nov 19, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?$1.00May 22, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Groff win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?$1.00May 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?$1.00May 22, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.00May 22, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.01May 22, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?$1.02May 22, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.03May 22, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?$1.04May 22, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?$1.04May 22, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?$1.00Apr 3, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".