Busy-Someone
0x0283bcaf7eeae073b01082b3358db2c277fd86f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$122.13
Total PnL
$-79.23
Realised
$-16.29
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026?
115 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$115.11
$0.12
- RYAN GANDRA
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$7.02
$3.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?
2280 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- CAVALIERS
Heat vs. Cavaliers
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Hornets vs. Timberwolves
9 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- ORBIT ANONYMO
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- BOSTON RED SOX
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ANDREY RUBLEV
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
8 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Rangers
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of July 6 2026?$115.00Jul 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$4.09Jul 10, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$108.11Jul 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$108.00Jun 26, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 1?$11.71Jun 26, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jong-bae win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$12.51Jun 26, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?$16.48Jun 26, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2?$78.16Jun 26, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on June 2?$78.01Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi$3.96Jun 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$82.08Jun 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$82.00May 31, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev$4.56May 31, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 1?$11.70May 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jong-bae win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$12.50May 31, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$111.22May 31, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$111.00May 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?$16.45May 28, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$127.13May 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$127.01May 27, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $85.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.