Uneven-Alligator-Authorization
0x028814b3d1772c5ab03d2a48035c530abeb6ee2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$199.31
Total PnL
$-61.48
Realised
$58.32
Win rate
74%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 12?
82 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$19.38
$6.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?
41 shares @ 36.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$17.84
$3.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?
20 shares @ 44.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$17.00
$8.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 12?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.60
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 12?
57 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.9¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.33
$0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.37
$-0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 12?
46 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.26
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 12?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?
53 shares @ 28.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.04
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$13.72
$-1.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?$3.60Jul 12, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?$5.94Jul 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 12?$0.42Jul 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 12?$2.93Jul 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?$0.14Jul 12, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?$0.15Jul 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$1.26Jul 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$2.10Jul 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$3.31Jul 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 12?$10.00Jul 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?$1.71Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 12?$0.15Jul 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?$0.01Jul 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$0.06Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$5.64Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 12?$2.59Jul 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?$0.06Jul 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 12?$12.85Jul 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?$13.20Jul 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?$1.31Jul 12, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
74% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.