0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
0x028be7496302642b893fdd61a83abe44c3644ad0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$73.40
Total PnL
$-12.60
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?
59 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$59.22
$2.84
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.74
$0.17
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.57
$-0.08
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.19
$0.12
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on July 24?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.04
$-0.01
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on July 24?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.62
$-0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?
19 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.01
$-3.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
18 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.01
$-11.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on July 24?$5.68Jul 24, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?$0.46Jul 24, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?$22.95Jul 24, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24?$29.29Jul 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on July 24?$1.23Jul 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on July 24?$1.06Jul 24, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 24?$4.78Jul 24, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 25?$1.50Jul 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 24?$4.20Jul 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 24?$22.84Jul 24, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24?$26.44Jul 24, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24?$1.83Jul 24, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?$0.03Jul 24, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?$0.03Jul 24, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?$0.04Jul 24, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 24?$0.21Jul 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?$3.75Jul 24, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?$0.01Jul 23, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?$1.85Jul 23, 22:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.