Massive-Placebo
0x028de2eb8205b0684cb79c7644eac165aadab362
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.89
Total PnL
$1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.82
$0.82
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$2.33
$1.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$1.00Mar 11, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.99Jan 19, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$0.00Jan 18, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jan 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$1.47Nov 14, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 12?$0.00Nov 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$1.39Nov 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$1.00Nov 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$1.00Nov 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$5.00Nov 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$0.96Nov 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 12, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 12, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.