Colossal-Farrow
0x028f0762a67dd4df3cbfd71f05dc6c579a71f5ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.0K
Realised
$-36.3K
Win rate
8%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?
5512 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-278.29
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?
3202 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-900.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 25?
3043 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-677.25
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 28?
1653 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 25?
1260 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-591.07
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
990 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-462.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $190 and $200 on July 28?
988 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-609.92
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 16?
888 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-276.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 25?
879 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-646.81
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 25?
824 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-518.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $120 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2100 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $130 in July?$0.00Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?$35.54Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in July?$200.00Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 in July?$525.00Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1900 in July?$600.00Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$630.00Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in July?$682.60Aug 1, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $255.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.