Private-Initialize
0x0294a9a8f7ebd22bdd94ec42ba5e4cb433e1e54f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-436.09
Realised
$60.14
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.39
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
963 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
907 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-47.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
574 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
505 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.93
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
465 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
356 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
321 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.20Feb 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$3.68Feb 4, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.68Feb 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$47.75Feb 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$48.44Feb 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$51.68Feb 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$52.26Feb 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$80.38Feb 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$52.36Feb 4, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$50.00Feb 4, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$79.73Feb 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$103.84Feb 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.00Feb 4, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$50.18Feb 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$11.22Feb 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$53.89Feb 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$89.98Feb 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$23.99Feb 4, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$20.00Feb 4, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$87.57Feb 4, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $45.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.