Downright-Forebear
0x02a172808d9241bf13d93c35150201d0e041cfc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.95
Total PnL
$-26.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 29, 2026$6.16
$1.16
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.58
$0.58
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 78.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 9?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 7?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 9?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 4?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 5?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on June 5?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9?$0.00Jun 10, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9?$2.85Jun 8, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 9?$1.03Jun 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 9?$3.06Jun 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$4.00Jun 8, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$5.00Jun 8, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$2.57Jun 8, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 7?$3.37Jun 8, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 7?$3.80Jun 8, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 7?$4.48Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$5.22Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 6?$3.57Jun 7, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?$1.92Jun 6, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 7?$1.03Jun 6, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 7?$1.05Jun 6, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 6, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 7?$3.05Jun 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 7?$3.02Jun 6, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.