International-Bunch
0x02a6054ecc2c97e53dc0997a70585703de3c30ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$27.25
Total PnL
$-10.30
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SPAIN
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
27 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$27.25
$2.25
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times March 14-21?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
543 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
52 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.70Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.10Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$5.25Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$33.20Jul 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$30.97Jul 19, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.93Jul 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.06Jul 19, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$261.20Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$14.43Jul 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$3.15Jul 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?$107.55Mar 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?$138.31Mar 19, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21?$11.65Mar 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?$26.33Mar 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times March 14-21?$1.00Mar 19, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21?$20.00Mar 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?$20.00Mar 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Mar 21?$1.60Mar 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?$6.08Mar 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$7.01Mar 19, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $40.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.