Original-Defeat
0x02a9bf6ccc580a69043434785ead79cb21292882
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-54.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
2300 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-973.97
- YES
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
499 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-292.30
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
318 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-163.53
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-164.99
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
293 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-178.54
- YES
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
276 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$19.61Feb 28, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$29.80Feb 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$19.48Feb 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$17.80Feb 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$38.31Feb 28, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?$6.84Jan 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$179.01Jan 9, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$502.90Dec 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$16.09Dec 26, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$578.80Dec 14, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Iran in 2025?$325.25Dec 8, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$579.24Dec 6, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$39.76Dec 6, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$37.03Dec 6, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$8.19Nov 23, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$420.00Nov 21, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$25.00Nov 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$53.00Nov 16, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$54.00Nov 16, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $83.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.