0x02ab362f15d345b799847b890d0cf69d8b840154
0x02ab362f15d345b799847b890d0cf69d8b840154
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$84.15
Total PnL
$20.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 14?
28 shares @ 31.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$28.38
$19.52
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$20.00
$4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?
16 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$15.77
$11.51
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
15 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.00
$2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 14?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$5.00
$2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 14?
25 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 15?
15 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?
9 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?
9 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 14?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 14?$1.45Feb 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?$1.00Feb 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?$4.26Feb 14, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 14?$2.25Feb 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 14?$8.86Feb 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 14?$8.09Feb 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 15?$1.20Feb 14, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?$3.51Feb 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on February 15?$3.73Feb 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET$15.80Feb 12, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$1.14Feb 11, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.05Feb 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.99Feb 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.31Feb 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.03Feb 8, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.12Feb 8, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.20Feb 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.20Feb 7, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.20Feb 7, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.