Scared-Mussel
0x02b0c96c866abc2c64b975fae2897b463da47a8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-308.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3613 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-59.99
- NO
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
1622 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.80 in November?
279 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
149 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-23.29
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
137 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?
54 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?$5.00Nov 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?$15.00Nov 26, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Nov 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$50.00Nov 24, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.00Nov 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.80 in November?$5.00Nov 8, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?$5.00Oct 26, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-01?$2.00Oct 26, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?$5.00Oct 22, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?$36.23Oct 22, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?$16.13Oct 15, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-19?$5.00Oct 10, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-18?$25.00Oct 10, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?$5.00Oct 10, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30?$5.00Sep 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?$5.00Sep 29, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?$22.73Sep 29, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ajax Amsterdam win on 2025-09-30?$4.00Sep 25, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $12.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".