Frugal-Parcel
0x02b0cc3e084370a9d32ddc7df267b8b898a64756
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
152 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
80 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.64
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 27?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 22?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$47.23May 30, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$51.00May 30, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be above 15%?$10.20May 28, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 11% and 12%?$10.60May 28, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $620 on May 27?$10.04May 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be above 15%?$10.01May 27, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 11% and 12%?$10.02May 27, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on May 26?$10.75May 27, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 26?$10.21May 27, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on May 26?$10.03May 26, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 26?$10.01May 26, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 25?$10.31May 25, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 25?$10.31May 25, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 25?$10.25May 25, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?$10.22May 25, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 25?$20.38May 25, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 25?$10.01May 25, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 25?$10.01May 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 25?$10.01May 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 25?$10.01May 25, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.